Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.022379 0.027163 0.032201 0.037859 0.043997 0.050417 0.057605
2025-11-30 0.015218 0.021875 0.029441 0.038464 0.048751 0.059960 0.072955
2025-12-07 0.011081 0.018710 0.027984 0.039581 0.053286 0.068635 0.086826
2025-12-14 0.008590 0.016872 0.027552 0.041423 0.058260 0.077486 0.100617
2025-12-21 0.006347 0.014816 0.026445 0.042116 0.061610 0.084254 0.111853
2025-12-28 0.005692 0.014864 0.027956 0.045970 0.068680 0.095302 0.127965
2026-01-04 0.003697 0.012330 0.025647 0.044703 0.069307 0.098606 0.134963
2026-01-11 0.002698 0.011175 0.025096 0.045592 0.072501 0.104886 0.145376
2026-01-18 0.001803 0.009887 0.024171 0.045854 0.074809 0.110029 0.154389
2026-01-25 0.001177 0.008885 0.023543 0.046424 0.077441 0.115514 0.163768
2026-02-01 0.000656 0.007791 0.022616 0.046476 0.079331 0.120038 0.171956
2026-02-08 0.000167 0.006040 0.020304 0.044357 0.078241 0.120779 0.175509
2026-02-15 0.000001 0.004580 0.018283 0.042601 0.077669 0.122272 0.180148
2026-02-22 NaN 0.004064 0.017998 0.043456 0.080632 0.128243 0.190296
2026-03-01 NaN 0.003705 0.017970 0.044681 0.084090 0.134840 0.201214
2026-03-08 NaN 0.003574 0.018415 0.046648 0.088570 0.142739 0.213738
2026-03-15 NaN 0.003152 0.018120 0.047386 0.091318 0.148411 0.223510
2026-03-22 NaN 0.003571 0.019868 0.051479 0.098781 0.160152 0.240796
2026-03-29 NaN 0.002708 0.018345 0.050135 0.098567 0.161990 0.245813
2026-04-05 NaN 0.002426 0.018220 0.051079 0.101565 0.167961 0.255945
2026-04-12 NaN 0.002045 0.017725 0.051356 0.103589 0.172655 0.264479
2026-04-19 NaN 0.001763 0.017439 0.051961 0.106066 0.177928 0.273728
2026-04-26 NaN 0.001426 0.016863 0.052016 0.107723 0.182111 0.281600